{"id":178,"date":"2011-12-29T13:07:06","date_gmt":"2011-12-29T21:07:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/facingthesing.wpengine.com\/?p=178"},"modified":"2014-12-06T14:47:42","modified_gmt":"2014-12-06T22:47:42","slug":"dont-flinch-away","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/2011\/dont-flinch-away\/","title":{"rendered":"Neodvracajte sa"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"dropcap\">M<\/span>o\u017eno ste u\u017e po\u010duli o <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Japanese_holdout\">japonsk\u00fdch veter\u00e1noch<\/a>, ktor\u00ed odmietli uveri\u0165 spr\u00e1vam o kapitul\u00e1cii Japonska v roku 1945. Jedn\u00fdm z nich bol <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Hiroo_Onoda\">poru\u010d\u00edk Hiroo Onoda<\/a>, ktor\u00fd velil \u010fal\u0161\u00edm trom vojakom na ostrove Lubang vo Filip\u00ednach. Vy\u0161e desa\u0165 rokov sa \u017eivili kokosov\u00fdmi orechmi a ban\u00e1nmi v d\u017eungli a <a href=\"http:\/\/history1900s.about.com\/od\/worldwarii\/a\/soldiersurr.htm\">odmietali uveri\u0165, \u017ee vojna skon\u010dila<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Zhadzovali im let\u00e1k za let\u00e1kom. Nech\u00e1vali im noviny. Zhadzovali im fotografie a listy od pr\u00edbuzn\u00fdch. Priatelia a pr\u00edbuzn\u00ed sa im prihov\u00e1rali cez megaf\u00f3ny. V\u017edy im bolo nie\u010do podozriv\u00e9, tak\u017ee nikdy neuverili, \u017ee vojna naozaj skon\u010dila.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Jeden po druhom Onodovi vojaci zomreli alebo sa vzdali, ale samotn\u00fd Onoda neuveril v\u00a0por\u00e1\u017eku Japonska a\u017e do roku 1974, takmer 30 rokov po skon\u010den\u00ed vojny. Nesk\u00f4r <a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/No-Surrender-Thirty-Year-Bluejacket-Books\/dp\/1557506639\/\">spom\u00edna<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Zrazu v\u0161etko s\u010dernelo. Z\u00farila vo mne v\u00edchrica. C\u00edtil som sa ako hlup\u00e1k&#8230; \u010do som to robil cel\u00e9 tie roky?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u0160tudent <a href=\"http:\/\/facingthesing.wpengine.com\/sk\/2011\/the-laws-of-thought\/\">rozumnosti<\/a> chce pravdiv\u00e9 presved\u010denia, aby mohol lep\u0161ie dosiahnu\u0165 svoje ciele. Chce reagova\u0165 na d\u00f4kazy ve\u013emi odli\u0161ne ne\u017e Onoda. Chce zmeni\u0165 n\u00e1zor hne\u010f, ke\u010f je dostatok d\u00f4kazov, ktor\u00e9 to zd\u00f4vod\u0148uj\u00fa (v s\u00falade s t\u00fdm, \u010do u\u017e vie, a so <a href=\"http:\/\/facingthesing.wpengine.com\/sk\/2011\/the-laws-of-thought\/\">z\u00e1konmi<\/a> te\u00f3rie pravdepodobnosti). Dr\u017eanie sa nepravdiv\u00fdch presved\u010den\u00ed m\u00f4\u017ee ma\u0165 v\u00e1\u017ene d\u00f4sledky: napr\u00edklad 30 rokov na kokosov\u00fdch orechoch.<\/p>\n<p>Onoda bol cvi\u010den\u00fd v rovnakom druhu militaristick\u00e9ho dogmatizmu, ktor\u00fd vytvoril pilotov kamikaze, a bol nau\u010den\u00fd veri\u0165, \u017ee por\u00e1\u017eka Japonska je najhor\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd v\u00fdsledok, ak\u00fd si mo\u017eno predstavi\u0165. Onoda sa teda prirodzene odvracal od d\u00f4kazov, \u017ee Japonsko prehralo vojnu, ke\u010f\u017ee bol vycvi\u010den\u00fd veri\u0165, \u017ee tento v\u00fdsledok je emocion\u00e1lne a ment\u00e1lne nemyslite\u013en\u00fd.<\/p>\n<p>Jedna zo zru\u010dnost\u00ed v zbierke n\u00e1strojov rozumn\u00e9ho myslenia je v\u0161imn\u00fa\u0165 si, kedy nastane toto \u201eodvr\u00e1tenie sa\u201c a kona\u0165 proti nemu. T\u00fato zru\u010dnos\u0165 budeme potrebova\u0165, ke\u010f sa za\u010dneme pozera\u0165 na d\u00f4sledky my\u0161lienok, o ktor\u00fdch sme pr\u00e1ve hovorili \u2013 \u017ee <a href=\"http:\/\/facingthesing.wpengine.com\/sk\/2011\/superstition-in-retreat\/\">UI je nevyhnutn\u00e1, ak bude veda napredova\u0165<\/a>, a \u017ee <a href=\"http:\/\/facingthesing.wpengine.com\/2011\/plenty-of-room-above-us\/\">UI m\u00f4\u017ee by\u0165 <em>omnoho<\/em> inteligentnej\u0161ia (a preto omnoho mocnej\u0161ia) ne\u017e \u013eudia<\/a>. Ke\u010f presk\u00famame d\u00f4sledky t\u00fdchto my\u0161lienok, bude u\u017eito\u010dn\u00e9 rozumie\u0165, \u010do sa deje v \u013eudskom mozgu, ke\u010f zva\u017euje my\u0161lienky s ne\u017eelan\u00fdmi d\u00f4sledkami. Ako uvid\u00edme, nepotrebujeme vojensk\u00fa indoktrin\u00e1ciu na to, aby sa \u013eudsk\u00fd mozog odvr\u00e1til pre\u010d. Naopak, odvr\u00e1tenie sa je \u0161tandardnou vlastnos\u0165ou \u013eudskej psychol\u00f3gie, zn\u00e1mou pod n\u00e1zvami ako \u201e<a href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar?q=%22motivated+cognition%22&amp;hl=en&amp;btnG=Search&amp;as_sdt=1%2C24&amp;as_sdtp=on\">motivovan\u00e9 pozn\u00e1vanie<\/a>\u201c a\u00a0\u201e<a href=\"http:\/\/wiki.lesswrong.com\/wiki\/Rationalization\">racionaliz\u00e1cia<\/a>\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Ako extr\u00e9mny pr\u00edklad si vezmime kreacionistu. Bude prij\u00edma\u0165 pochybn\u00e9 d\u00f4kazy v prospech svojej poz\u00edcie, ale bude prehnane skeptick\u00fd vo\u010di d\u00f4kazom proti nej. Bude h\u013eada\u0165 d\u00f4kazy, ktor\u00e9 by mohli <em>potvrdi\u0165<\/em> jeho poz\u00edciu, ale nebude h\u013eada\u0165 najsilnej\u0161ie <a href=\"http:\/\/www.talkorigins.org\/faqs\/comdesc\/\">d\u00f4kazy proti nej<\/a>. (A tak sa stret\u00e1vam s\u00a0kreacionistami, ktor\u00ed nikdy nepo\u010duli o <a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=qh7OclPDN_s\">endog\u00e9nnych retrov\u00edrusoch<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<p>Mnoh\u00ed z n\u00e1s <a href=\"http:\/\/lesswrong.com\/lw\/he\/knowing_about_biases_can_hurt_people\/\">robia podobn\u00e9 veci<\/a> ka\u017ed\u00fd t\u00fd\u017ede\u0148 v (d\u00fafam) menej zrejm\u00fdch a \u0161kodliv\u00fdch veciach. <a href=\"http:\/\/lesswrong.com\/lw\/ko\/a_case_study_of_motivated_continuation\/\">Odvraciame sa od nepohodln\u00fdch pr\u00e1vd a volieb<\/a>, hovoriac: \u201eje lep\u0161ie neun\u00e1hli\u0165 sa\u201c. <a href=\"http:\/\/lesswrong.com\/lw\/jy\/avoiding_your_beliefs_real_weak_points\/\">Vyh\u00fdbame sa skuto\u010dn\u00fdm slab\u00fdm miestam na\u0161ich presved\u010den\u00ed<\/a>. Za\u010d\u00edname s <a href=\"http:\/\/lesswrong.com\/lw\/js\/the_bottom_line\/\">u\u017e vytvoren\u00fdm n\u00e1zorom<\/a>, a <a href=\"http:\/\/lesswrong.com\/lw\/ju\/rationalization\/\">argumenty pre\u0148 si n\u00e1jdeme a\u017e dodato\u010dne<\/a>. <a href=\"http:\/\/lesswrong.com\/lw\/iw\/positive_bias_look_into_the_dark\/\">Nevedome filtrujeme dostupn\u00e9 d\u00f4kazy, aby sme zv\u00fdhodnili svoje teraj\u0161ie presved\u010denia<\/a>. Vyvraciame slab\u00e9 argumenty proti na\u0161im poz\u00edci\u00e1m, ale nepok\u00fa\u0161ame sa zv\u00e1\u017ei\u0165 <a href=\"http:\/\/lesswrong.com\/lw\/2k\/the_least_convenient_possible_world\/\">najsilnej\u0161ie mo\u017en\u00e9 argumenty<\/a> proti na\u0161im poz\u00edci\u00e1m.<\/p>\n<p>A tieto procesy s\u00fa zvy\u010dajne <em>automatick\u00e9<\/em> a <em>nevedom\u00e9<\/em>. Nemus\u00edte by\u0165 mimoriadne iracion\u00e1lny \u010dlovek, aby ste sa takto odvr\u00e1tili. Nie, budete ma\u0165 sklon sa odvraca\u0165 automaticky, <em>ani si to neuvedom\u00edte<\/em>, a budete musie\u0165 vynalo\u017ei\u0165 <em>vedom\u00e9 my\u0161lienkov\u00e9 \u00fasilie<\/em>, aby ste sa <em>neodvr\u00e1tili<\/em> od nepohodln\u00fdch faktov. A nemysl\u00edm t\u00fdm spievanie: \u201eNedopusti sa sklonu k potvrdzovaniu. Nedopusti sa sklonu k potvrdzovaniu&#8230;\u201c Mysl\u00edm t\u00fdm nie\u010do \u00fa\u010dinnej\u0161ie.<\/p>\n<p>Ak\u00e9 druhy vedom\u00e9ho my\u0161lienkov\u00e9ho \u00fasilia m\u00f4\u017eete vynalo\u017ei\u0165, aby ste oponovali reakcii \u201eodvr\u00e1tenia sa\u201c?<\/p>\n<p>Jedna rada je <a href=\"http:\/\/lesswrong.com\/lw\/o4\/leave_a_line_of_retreat\/\">ponecha\u0165 si \u00fastupov\u00fa l\u00edniu<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p>Minul\u00fd ve\u010der som sa rozpr\u00e1val s [osobou, ktor\u00e1] pr\u00e1ve vyhl\u00e1sila (a) svoje presved\u010denie v\u00a0existenciu du\u0161e a (b) \u017ee never\u00ed v <a href=\"http:\/\/sk.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Kryonika\">kryoniku<\/a>, preto\u017ee ver\u00ed, \u017ee du\u0161a by nezostala v zmrazenom tele. Op\u00fdtal som sa: \u201eAle odkia\u013e to vie\u0161?\u201c Zo zm\u00e4tku, ktor\u00fd prebleskol jej tv\u00e1rou bolo dos\u0165 jasn\u00e9, \u017ee jej t\u00e1to ot\u00e1zka nikdy nenapadla&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>\u2026 \u201eDaj si z\u00e1le\u017ea\u0165 na tom,\u201c poradil som jej, \u201eaby si si predstavila, ako by svet vyzeral, keby neexistovali \u017eiadne du\u0161e, a \u010do by si v takom pr\u00edpade robila. Nemysli na v\u0161etky mo\u017en\u00e9 d\u00f4vody, pre\u010do by to tak by\u0165 nemohlo, iba to prijmi ako predpoklad a potom si predstav d\u00f4sledky. Tak\u017ee si pomysl\u00ed\u0161, \u201eNo, keby neexistovali du\u0161e, mohla by som sa jednoducho prihl\u00e1si\u0165 na kryoniku,\u201c alebo \u201eKeby neexistoval Boh, aj tak by som sa mohla na\u010falej spr\u00e1va\u0165 mor\u00e1lne\u201c namiesto toho, aby si bola pr\u00edli\u0161 vystra\u0161en\u00e1 z tejto predstavy. \u010co sa t\u00fdka seba\u00facty, mala by si sk\u00fasi\u0165 veri\u0165 pravde bez oh\u013eadu na to, ak\u00e9 je to nepohodln\u00e9&#8230; [a] \u010do sa t\u00fdka \u013eudskej prirodzenosti, pom\u00e1ha, ak najprv sprav\u00ed\u0161 presved\u010denie menej nepohodln\u00fdm a a\u017e potom sa sna\u017e\u00ed\u0161 vyhodnoti\u0165 d\u00f4kazy pre\u0148.\u201c<\/p>\n<p>Samozrejme, d\u00f4kazy mus\u00edte st\u00e1le <a href=\"http:\/\/lesswrong.com\/lw\/jt\/what_evidence_filtered_evidence\/\">zva\u017eova\u0165 poctivo<\/a>.. Existuj\u00fa presved\u010denia, ktor\u00e9 ma stra\u0161ia, a ktor\u00e9 st\u00e1le odmietam, ako aj presved\u010denia, ktor\u00e9 ma pri\u0165ahuj\u00fa, ktor\u00e9 st\u00e1le prij\u00edmam. D\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e9 v\u0161ak je predstavi\u0165 si situ\u00e1ciu jasne a t\u00fdm ju urobi\u0165 menej stra\u0161idelnou, aby v\u00e1\u0161 \u013eudsk\u00fd mozog mohol f\u00e9rovej\u0161ie vyhodnocova\u0165 relevantn\u00e9 d\u00f4kazy.<\/p>\n<p>Ponecha\u0165 si \u00fastupov\u00fa l\u00edniu je n\u00e1stroj, ktor\u00fd pou\u017e\u00edvame <em>pred<\/em> bojom. Technika proti odvr\u00e1teniu sa, pou\u017eite\u013en\u00e1 <em>po\u010das<\/em> boja, je slovne pomenova\u0165 reakciu odvr\u00e1tenia sa. Ke\u010f sa pristihnem, \u017ee si mysl\u00edm veci ako: \u201eZd\u00e1 sa mi, \u017ee som \u010d\u00edtal, \u017ee cukor vlastne nie je a\u017e tak\u00fd \u0161kodliv\u00fd,\u201c v my\u0161lienkach dod\u00e1m: \u201eale to m\u00f4\u017ee by\u0165 motivovan\u00e9 pozn\u00e1vanie, preto\u017ee m\u00e1m pr\u00e1ve ve\u013ek\u00fa chu\u0165 zjes\u0165 tento kol\u00e1\u010d.\u201c<\/p>\n<p>Je to ako stla\u010denie tla\u010didla <em>pauza<\/em> na mojom rozhodovacom module, ktor\u00e9 mi poskytne \u010das zapoji\u0165 svoje \u201emoduly zvedavosti\u201c, ktor\u00e9 som vycvi\u010dil, aby <em>chceli vedie\u0165, \u010do je naozaj pravda<\/em>, namiesto ospravedl\u0148ovania jedenia kol\u00e1\u010dov. Napr\u00edklad si predstav\u00edm, \u010do by mohlo zle dopadn\u00fa\u0165, keby som v danej veci do\u0161iel k nepravdiv\u00e9mu presved\u010deniu \u2013 v\u010faka motivovan\u00e9mu poznaniu alebo nejakej inej chybe myslenia. V tomto pr\u00edpade si m\u00f4\u017eem predstavi\u0165, \u017ee priberiem hmotnos\u0165 alebo \u017ee budem ma\u0165 dlhodobo ni\u017e\u0161iu energiu, ako mo\u017en\u00e9 d\u00f4sledky toho, keby som sa m\u00fdlil oh\u013eadom \u00fa\u010dinkov konzum\u00e1cie cukru. Keby som zva\u017eoval, \u010di si k\u00fapi\u0165 poistenie proti vyhoreniu, predstavoval by som si, \u010do sa m\u00f4\u017ee sta\u0165, ak sa m\u00fdlim v mojom intuit\u00edvnom \u00fasudku oh\u013eadom k\u00fapy poistenia.<\/p>\n<p>Tieto n\u00e1stroje bud\u00fa u\u017eito\u010dn\u00e9, ke\u010f sa zamysl\u00edme nad d\u00f4sledkami UI. Ideme sa rozpr\u00e1va\u0165 o\u00a0dos\u0165 n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fdch veciach, ale pam\u00e4tajte: Neodvracajte sa. Pozerajte sa skuto\u010dnosti do o\u010d\u00ed a\u00a0neustupujte.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>o\u017eno ste u\u017e po\u010duli o japonsk\u00fdch veter\u00e1noch, ktor\u00ed odmietli uveri\u0165 spr\u00e1vam o kapitul\u00e1cii Japonska v roku 1945. Jedn\u00fdm z nich bol poru\u010d\u00edk Hiroo Onoda, ktor\u00fd velil \u010fal\u0161\u00edm trom vojakom na ostrove Lubang vo Filip\u00ednach. Vy\u0161e desa\u0165 rokov sa \u017eivili kokosov\u00fdmi&hellip;  <a href=\"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/2011\/dont-flinch-away\/\">continue reading<\/a> &raquo;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-178","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-chapter"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/178","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=178"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/178\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=178"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=178"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=178"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}